Saturday, August 19, 2006

ceasefire?

Israel has once again wrong footed itself as it has been doing since the very begining of this war, the ceasefire may not be over, after all Hizbolah hasn't completely restocked its arms yet, but Israel has certainly broken it. When the ceasefire began Hizbolah said that it would be made invalid if Israeli troops were to remain in the country and thus they would be fired on, Israeli troops have indeed remained in the country and yet Hizbolah has failed to make good on its promise and as it turns israel has been the first to brake the ceasefire by attacking Hizbolah killing three Hizbolah fighters and losing one of its own, they claimed that they were dissrupting arms coming in from Syria and Iran noble aims perhaps but this entire opperation makes Hizbolah look like the 'big man' and Israel........... well it doesn't make them look very good atall. They have as i said once again completely wrong footed themselves this entire war which Israel launched not simply against Hizbolah but against the entire Lebonease nation has made Hizbolah who were previously dispised by much of the Lebonease people and there goverment look like heroes.
And so what is the international comunity going to do well......... probably nothing at least not for some time what they need to do is broaker a similar ceasefire in Gaza and then go onto more permanant stabalising action in Lebonon preventing any other war from breaking out, and then back to Israel where they need to enforce 'the road map' but this won't happen the fact of the matter is that conflict in this region seems so much to simply be the status quo that no one cares all that much about it except to the extent that they speak many token words to make themselves look good and the fact of the matter is that if there was no oil there then they probably wouldn't even do that.

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